Same As Ever Summary & Review | Morgan Housel
1-Sentence Summary
In “Same as Ever,” Morgan Housel uncovers how the timeless constants of human behavior shape our decisions and the world around us—unlock these enduring truths, and you might just change your destiny.
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Introduction
Same As Ever is a book by Morgan Housel that explores the idea that human behavior has not changed much over time, despite the rapid pace of technological and social change. Housel argues that the same basic human emotions, such as fear, greed, and hope, continue to drive our actions, regardless of the era. He uses a variety of historical examples to illustrate his point, and he also draws on his own experiences as an investment writer.
About Morgan Housel
Morgan Housel is a former finance writer for The Motley Fool and The Wall Street Journal. He is also a partner at Collaborative Fund, a venture capital firm. Housel is known for his insightful and contrarian writing about investing and behavior.
StoryShot 1: The world is more complex than we think
We often try to simplify the world around us by creating mental models or frameworks that help us understand how things work. However, these models are often oversimplifications that fail to capture the full complexity of the world. This can lead to us making poor decisions, as we may not be considering all of the relevant factors.
For example, we might use a simple economic model to predict how the stock market will react to a certain event. However, this model might not take into account all of the complex factors that can affect the market, such as investor sentiment, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. As a result, our prediction could be inaccurate.
It is important to be aware of the limitations of our mental models and to be open to new information that might challenge our existing beliefs. We should also be willing to revise our models as we learn more about the world.
StoryShot 2: The past is not a perfect guide to the future
We often look to the past to try to predict the future. However, the world is constantly changing, and what happened in the past may not be a reliable predictor of what will happen in the future. This is because the factors that drive change, such as technology, demographics, and social norms, are constantly evolving.
For example, we might use past stock market performance to try to predict future returns. However, this approach is flawed because the stock market is constantly changing, and past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
It is important to be aware of the limitations of using the past to predict the future. We should not rely on historical data as the sole basis for our decisions. We should also be open to the possibility that the future may be very different from the past.
StoryShot 3: Luck plays a big role in life
We often attribute our successes and failures to our own hard work or lack thereof. However, luck plays a much bigger role in our lives than we often realize. There are many factors outside of our control that can have a significant impact on our lives, such as our family background, our health, and the timing of our decisions.
For example, two people with the same skills and work ethic may have very different career outcomes due to luck. One person may be born into a wealthy family with connections, while the other person may have to overcome significant obstacles, such as financial hardship or discrimination.
It is important to be humble and recognize that we are not always in control of our own destinies. We should be grateful for our successes and not blame ourselves for our failures. We should also be willing to help others who have been less fortunate.
StoryShot 4: Fear and greed are powerful motivators
Fear and greed are two of the most powerful emotions that we experience. They can drive us to make both good and bad decisions. Fear can motivate us to avoid risk and protect ourselves from harm, while greed can motivate us to take risks in pursuit of rewards.
For example, fear of losing money may motivate us to invest conservatively, while greed may motivate us to invest in risky assets.
It is important to be aware of how fear and greed can affect our decision-making. We should not let these emotions control us. We should strive to make rational decisions based on evidence and logic.
StoryShot 5: We are all biased
We all have biases that can affect our thinking and decision-making. Biases are mental shortcuts that help us make quick decisions, but they can also lead us to make errors in judgment.
There are many different types of biases, such as confirmation bias, which is the tendency to seek out information that confirms our existing beliefs, and anchoring bias, which is the tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information we receive.
It is important to be aware of our own biases and to try to avoid them. We can do this by seeking out information from a variety of sources and by considering alternative perspectives.
StoryShot 6: Patience is a virtue
We live in a world that is increasingly focused on instant gratification. However, patience is still a virtue. It is important to be patient and to be willing to put in the hard work that is necessary to achieve our goals.
There are many areas of life where patience is important, such as investing, learning new skills, and building relationships.
It is important to remember that success does not happen overnight. It takes time, effort, and perseverance. We should be patient with ourselves and others, and we should not give up on our goals.
StoryShot 7: Progress is slow
We often expect to see dramatic progress in our lifetimes. However, progress is often slow and incremental. It can be difficult to see the progress that is being made when we are focused on the day-to-day challenges of life.
There are many examples of slow progress throughout history. For example, it took centuries for the printing press to become widely adopted, and it took decades for the internet to become a household staple.
It is important to have a long-term perspective when thinking about progress. We should not get discouraged by setbacks, and we should celebrate small wins along the way.
StoryShot 8: The future is Uncertain
We cannot know for sure what the future holds. This uncertainty can be both scary and exhilarating. It is important to embrace uncertainty and to be prepared for change.
There are many factors that can affect the future, such as technological change, climate change, and political instability. It is impossible to predict with certainty how these factors will play out.
However, we can prepare for the future by being flexible and adaptable. We should be willing to change our plans as circumstances change, and we should be open to new ideas and possibilities.
StoryShot 9: We should focus on what we can control
We cannot control everything that happens to us. However, we can control our own thoughts and actions. It is important to focus on what we can control and to let go of what we cannot control.
This can be difficult, especially when we are facing challenges. However, it is important to remember that we have the power to choose our own responses to events. We can choose to be optimistic or pessimistic, we can choose to be proactive or reactive, and we can choose to be helpful or hurtful.
StoryShot 10: We should be grateful for what we have
We often take for granted the good things in our lives. It is important to be grateful for what we have and to appreciate the people who make our lives better.
There are many ways to practice gratitude. We can keep a gratitude journal, we can express our gratitude to others, and we can simply take some time each day to reflect on all the things we are grateful for.
Gratitude can have a positive impact on our lives. It can make us happier, healthier, and more resilient. It can also strengthen our relationships with others.
Final Summary and Review
Same As Ever is a thought-provoking book that challenges our assumptions about the world and ourselves. Housel’s insights are both insightful and practical, and he offers valuable advice for making better decisions in our lives.
We would recommend this book to anyone who is interested in learning more about human behavior and how to make better decisions in life.
Rating
We rate Same as ever 4.1/5. How would you rate Morgan Housel’s book?